Friday, June 26, 2015

Minute Logic: Sam Harris Edition


Some blog posts are long. Some are not. If one is too long for you, then read a little bit each time you want to. It is also in your power to skip topics that don't interest you. However, do so at your own peril because I've already stated my current position on a variety of topics in this blog post, including morality. What I write from here on out are my own opinions in addition to being Sam Harris' opinions, and where we disagree I will point them out.

If you don't know Sam Harris, you probably should. Some would call him an author, public atheist, public intellectual, philosopher, and a PHD in neuroscience. Originally I knew him from his debates about religion, and there are pieces of his debates that I actually find to be the most well-worded response to a particular point. He's thought about and talked about more than just religion though. It feels like, to me anyway, that nowadays any discussion between two rational, intelligent people about the issues of our day are atheist, it's pretty much a given. I've already written and thought about religion on its own for long enough now. Time to set it down for now. Let me discuss and write about some of Sam Harris' beliefs in things other than religion. Here, I cover 5 topics that Harris has talked about: Free will, life, AI, morality, and Islam. One major topic I am not addressing here is Sam Harris and his defense of Israel.


Free Will










Sam Harris argues that there is no free will. Everything we are aware of, from our intentions, impulses, to our impulses to resist those impulses, are preceded by events in the nervous system which we are not aware of and didn't create. The state of your brain is not the product of events you were responsible. You didn't pick your parents, genes, or pick the way your interaction with other people sculpted the micro-structures in the brain to get the brain you currently have, or all the charges that are going in your brain right now, or how many synapses you have in your brain. Yet, your neuro-physiology is going to produce every next thought or intention you have.

Through neuro-imaging devices we already know, when telling the subject to pick between left or right, whether the person will pick left or right before the subject himself even knows whether he will pick left or right. That ability to predict will only be more fine-grained in the future. If I can predict what you will do before you know what you will do, the basis for free will seems to be on shakier ground. If what you will do can be predicted, you are not free to do anything apart from what was predicted.

The experiments done essentially gave the subject a very easy to read clock with letters or numbers constantly changing. The person can take as long as he wants to decide to go left or right, and as soon as he feels he has decided on which way to go, he looks at the letter/number displayed and tells the people conducting the test what it was. It is not clear exactly which study Sam Harris was talking about but he claims that the notion of going left or right actually builds up, and we can tell about 5-7 seconds before the person thinks he has decided whether the person will go left or right. That depends on how long the guy spends deciding, of course. You couldn't have been subconsciously deciding to go left or right for 5-7 seconds before you realized it if you only took 1 second from hearing the instructions to picking left or right. Anyways, the idea is that with such a long interval of 5-7 seconds before the person figures out whether to go left or right, the subject is less likely to have made a mistake that negatively impacts the result of the experiment.

It can be argued that having our actions be predicted is akin to watching a movie, in that the person was still free to make a choice, we're just watching it as it unfolds before or after the fact. This is the argument made by Matt Dillahunty (another public atheist). This argument is more simply put as: If there is currently free will and all of a sudden I gain the superpower to see the future, then aren't you arguing that we won't have free will because our thoughts and actions can be predicted? Daniel Dennett (yet another public atheist) would say in this case we do have free will. Sam Harris would say that we do not, because we are essentially robots acting based upon whatever variables we were subjected to, and the idea that we choose our fate is simply an illusion, and a very persuasive illusion at that. If you were predicted to have done something, you were not free to not have done otherwise. There is some leeway here in figuring out when something is or isn't free will because it's hard enough as it is to even define it.

As already mentioned, our thoughts seem to come out of nowhere for us subjectively. They are still caused by events you didn't cause like genetics. Even if you believe in a soul, you didn't pick your soul. As I write this sentence, how I ended up getting to this sentence in this way is still a mystery to me. When I fail to get to the end of the sentence, miss a word or type a typo, I don't know why. Even when you do write correctly or speak correctly, it's also a surprise. Why did I pick this word and not that?

It's like being asked to randomly come up with the name of a city off the top of your head. You're not going to think about every single city you know and decide on which city to pick, neither will you know why one city popped into your head instead of another. And your decision on which city to pick is reliant on many, many factors which are out of your control. The decision to pick whatever city you want and say it out loud is as value-free, pressure-free, and simple decision you will probably have to make in your life. You're not overwhelmed by complex biases and arguments and counterarguments and emotions which compromise your thinking, yet doing something as simple as picking a city seems to make free will and our ability to be the only true author of our thoughts seem hazy and uncertain.

Adding randomness doesn't mean you get free will. Electrons as far as we know act in a random/probabilistic manner. If anything, free will is reduced because on a fundamental level, the building blocks of your body is bound by physics which is random and sure as heck not caused by you.

EvilTim1911 among the Youtube comments described the situation succinctly: People understand they don't have full control of their brain structure or the molecules swirling around. However, the illusion of free will is so strong that even after people have accepted all of the factors that go to prove there is no free will, they still refuse to accept the sum of those factors.

So what does this mean, practically speaking? It doesn't mean that if we want a black belt in martial arts we can just sit there and wait for it to happen because we're destined to get it. Training and work ethic are still just as important as ever. Your decision to train, or to wait it out, or to train on some days and randomly not train on another, and your effort/desire to train are not really in your control but they still matter in figuring out what will happen next.

The argument is that it does change our ideas of good and evil in important ways. If somebody had the same exact situation you have - identical genes, environment, experiences, all those things - that person would make the same choices you make. When we look at good and evil, we assume that people are totally responsible for their actions. This idea that we have free will is part of the foundation for why we feel punishment or vengeance makes sense. Our justice system in America depends on this idea that there is free will.

We know that if you get the right tumor in the right circumstance, you will turn into a murderer that cannot control your actions. In a sense, this is what lack of free will means: Criminals are malfunctioning people. They got dealt the wrong genetics, the wrong parents, the wrong environment, the wrong micro-influences that turned them into what they are today. Just imagine the son of a terrorist living in a group of religious extremist. Odds are, that child will be screwed up as he gets older. But you take that child and put them in a different environment or change their brain or their genes, that person would be different and perhaps not a killer.

This doesn't mean punishment is not valid. Locking up murderers keeps them off the streets (and hopefully... will let the murderer reflect and regret their actions, so they can be fixed). The idea is to fix people instead of punishing them since it makes no sense to punish people because they deserve pain due to people not having free will. This idea of vengeance now makes no sense at all, all it does it produce more pain in the world. In a way it validates a higher level of compassion. Feel bad for criminals, because they got dealt a messed up life. Whether it be a tumor in the brain, being born into a family of religious loonies, or having a horrible set of environment and influences and micro-influences, they are victims. A tumor is just a more extreme case of physical causality. That doesn't mean you shouldn't defend yourself if you come in contact with one of these crazy people, however.


Meditation/Life



'The key to happiness is low expectations.'

On life and being happy, Sam Harris echoes a philosophy similar to that of Eckhart Tolle but the ideas existed far before him. I am going to quote part of his speech because I think the way he presented it was very well done:

I want to speak to you today about death. Most of us try our best not to think about death. But all of us knows that we're just a doctor's visit away from being starkly reminded of our own mortality. I'm sure many of you know somebody who has experienced this. You must know how uncanny it is to be thrown out of the normal course of your life, and just be given the full time job of not dying. The one thing people tend to realize at moments like this is that they wasted a lot of time when life was normal. It's not just they spent too much time working or compulsively checking email. It's that they cared about the wrong things. They regret what they cared about. Their attention was bound up by petty concerns... year after year when life was normal.

And this is a paradox of course, because we all know this epiphany is coming. Don't you know this is coming? Don't you know that you'll look back on the kinds of things that captured your attention and you'll ask, what was I thinking? You know this, and if you're like most people, you'll spend most of the time in your life, tacitly presuming you will live forever. It's like watching a bad movie for the fourth time. These things only make sense in light of eternity. There better be a heaven if we're going waste our time like this. There ways to really live in the present moment. What is the alternative? It is always now. However much you may feel the need to plan for the future or mitigate risks, the reality of your life is now. This may sound tripe, but it's the truth. And we spend most of our life repudiating it, overlooking it. The horror is that we succeed. We manage to never really connect with the present moment and find fulfillment because we are continually hoping to become happy in the future, and the future never arrives. We're always anticipating what is coming next. We're always trying to solve a problem. It's possibly to simply drop your problem, if only for a moment, and enjoy whatever is true of your life in the present.


The interesting part about Sam Harris is that unlike most of the other scientifically driven, atheist debaters, Sam Harris also focuses on the importance of the subjective experience. He even wrote a book about it called 'Waking Up: A guide to spirituality without religion'. I don't have the time to read it right now but I will check it out in the future. He is also a supporter of meditation, specifically mindfulness meditation, where the person just focuses only on whatever their senses are picking up in the present moment. I'm not any sort of expert on meditation and I've never meditated before, but it seems to be kind of accepted in the mainstream now, at least this type of meditation. We're not chanting hymns and praying to a god. Meditation doesn't have to be religious. The idea here is that our minds are constantly going, thinking about stuff, having conversations with ourselves, planning for the future, etc, and we never get a chance to truly unplug and just focus on the world right now. Even when we try to just sit there, our mind constantly wanders and think about random things.

Sam's the only guy out there debating religion while also talking about meditation, he's tried some drugs like MDMA (which he says he doesn't recommend that everybody do however), and he likes boxing. It just feels like he breaks the mold of the rational guy who talks about logic and evidence all day.


Artificial Intelligence



Once upon a time, men built the smartest machine ever built and asked, 'Is there a god?'. The machine replied, 'There is now'.

First of all, let me recommend you a video by CGP Grey called 'Humans Need Not Apply'. Please watch it if you have the time. This blog post will assume you haven't and a few ideas will be restated, but this section is not a simple re-hashing of what the video says.


First, let's just talk about AI that is somewhat close to our reach today. I'm not talking about robots having consciousness, just better automation.

There is no law in the universe that says we will all find work after every technological advancement. Likewise, there isn't a law that says technology makes more better jobs for horses, but when you replace horses with humans, people think it sounds about right. The machines we have were mechanical muscles, built to do hard labor, with abilities far beyond our own in terms of strength and durability. Human labor is not in as much demand. Likewise with the dawn of general AI, human intelligence will be less in demand. As CGP Grey states, machines get better in a way biology can't match.

Eventually the cost of producing a machine will be close to its raw materials and operating it will be far cheaper than humans. We will need humans to repair broken machines for now, but the amount of humans required for such a job is much smaller. The net effect is that jobs are simply lost. In a capitalist society, a few men will control many machines and gain incredible wealth while the rest of humanity are free to starve. Just the incoming automation powered by non-general AI is enough to cause worry. You may think we've been here before, but perhaps we haven't.

Imagine a tireless machine that is cost effective in more than one situation and can learn things by watching you do it. Today we watch and laugh at machines as they fail basic tasks. In the future they may be laughing at us. Machines are cheaper to operate than humans, and while today doing general labor they are extremely slow and not ready for prime-time, they one day will be. And what then?

Do you know about DARPA? It stands for Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, headed by the United States' Department of Defense. The original challenge was for cars to drive a track. Every car failed in hilarious ways. Fast forward ten years and now it is believed that self-driving cars will drive better than humans can. Now we've moved onto rescue robots. South Korea won the challenge and the prize money. The robots had to go through various rescue situations, walking over uneven ground and piloting a car. Two out of eight challenges in the competition were unknown to the participants ahead of time, and these robots are not remote controlled. The American robot had an arm broken but continued on like nothing happened, completing the challenge.

When you think of Google's self-driving cars, we think of lives saved. We think it is the future, because it is. Human drivers kill 40,000 people each year in the US alone. Self-driving cars don't get sleepy or text while driving. Eventually it will be more costly to drive manually than it is to purchase a self-driving car due to insurance costs. Transportation jobs are what, 3 million jobs in the US? In the whole world, that's maybe about 70 million people. Those jobs are gone. Just in the news today, I read that cabdrivers are slashing the tires of Uber drivers in France. Now imagine if all of their jobs are just gone. I'm reminded of a quote from Deus Ex: Human Revolution (a game set in a dystopic future featuring human augmentation), in which the owner of a huge human augmentation firm, David Sarif, says: "They cannot stop us. They cannot stop the future". Unions will not win. Efficiency always wins. Jobs will be slashed for the sake of efficiency for the bottom line. How are we going to replace them? You can't just say 'we'll find a way' this time because AI has the ability to replace jobs on a scale beyond what humanity has ever seen. Inevitably the lowest income jobs will begin to shrink and people will have to rely on their smarts but how are you going to get that when these poor people just lost all of their jobs? I'm not going to continue to list examples like the car example here because you should have already watched the video.

And now we get onto the scarier and more hypothetical part of the topic.
Elon Musk a while back said that AI is like 'summoning the demon'. Sam Harris and Elon Musk both got their ideas primarily from a book by Nick Bostrom called 'Superintelligence'. We're talking about general AI, AI that is able to improvise and do everything we can. The best chess AI in the world cannot write a book or figure out how to build robots, because these AI are not general AI. Imagine if we have AI that can make rapid, recursive self-improvement. This AI could reprogram itself to be smarter and iterate very quickly 24 hours a day on millions of computers. This is what Elon Musk is fearing.

Sam Harris recalls the time when he managed to talk his way into a conference held in San Juan, where the speakers there were the people closest to this kind of work. This conference was not shown to the public, but he talks about how the people in the conference were worried and hoped we could somehow pull the breaks on the development of AI even though that's hopeless.

We will surely continue to make better computers. We already know that mere matter can create intelligence, like humans. We can learn new concepts and employ them in unfamiliar context. It is possible that a machine can do the same. Computers already have superhuman memory and abilities to calculate. They also have access to most of the knowledge amassed by humans. Machines are able to work continuously and on a scale beyond humans. The road to a true general AI is far longer and harder than the layman thinks, and progress is very slow at the start and the rate of increase in improvements will increase and by the time they get to the level of a human, they will quickly overshadow us. That is what I believe, anyways.

A super intelligent machine could be capable of waging of terrestrial and cyber nature on a never-before-seen scale. How would China and Russia feel if America developed such a machine? Even if machines acted perfectly rationally, humans might not in response to such technology.

This is also assuming that machines will always obey our commands. (Who gets to make them anyways?) If machines are capable of ever-increasing improvements and it overshadows humans, who is to say that a machine that overwrites its own code already will obey us when it can already see the past, present, and future better than us? These could be extremes which we've never observed before and cannot predict.

If we achieve general AI, we probably need to give it values similar to our own, and somebody has to decide what those values actually are. General AI could acquire its own values or develop new and dangerous goals by accident or on purpose. Despite this, not developing general AI also has a cost. There are many problems in the world that need solving and if only we could have a much smarter entity to help us, perhaps they will be gone.

Here is an opposing viewpoint from a commenter on Youtube named ThirdEyeDesignz:

Evil is a human construct, and machine AI is different than human intelligence. It's natural to fear the unknown. The perception that machine AI will turn on us is largely a human projection. The main driver of human motivation is emotion. The main driver of machine motivation is protocol. I can almost guarantee that a hyper intelligent machine would see violence as unintelligent and unproductive. The reasons humans have emotion is because of millions of years of evolution. Robots have the luxury of skipping all that. It doesn't need emotions to survive, and we know that, so why would be give them the capacity to experience emotion? If robots turn on us it because we want them to. Ephemeralization is smarter than growth, and assume a hyper intelligent AI would understand this. Also, in my view, violence is a product of a lack of intelligence and problem solving skills, not an abundance of it. There's no reason to fear AI. Instead we should fear what certain interest groups may do with it.



Morality - Relative or Objective?



Nothing is right or wrong, but thinking it makes it so. - William Shakespeare

Some people are moral relativists. These people feel that we cannot tell what is right or wrong because morality is based solely upon opinions. Therefore, rape may be good or bad, there is no universal truth which shows rape is immoral. In short, there is no objective morality. Nobody can be 'correct' in their opinion of what is moral and what isn't. Some ask a question even more fundamental. It gets to the point where we arrive at a philosophical discussion that is completely removed from our day to day experiences. Some call this 'mental masturbation'.

What is good? How can you logically prove to me that suffering in the pit of despair is bad and well-being is good? Well-being is good because we deemed it so, just like how we assigned a meaning to what the word 'good' means. This means morality is relative on some fundamental level but I think this type of thinking is too fundamental and theoretical to be useful to society. Nothing can ever be proven with absolute certainty, morality is relative, blah blah blah. What matters with certainty is that people are certain enough of something to act based on their beliefs. What matters with morality is that human beings in general have many things in common and we can decide as a society what is good and what is bad.

We know the field of medicine and health is a scientific pursuit. We cannot easily describe exactly what being healthy means. We know it has something to do with not vomiting constantly. We know that sometimes strength is more important than flexibility, sometimes the other way around, and sometimes we need to make compromises in one for the other. There are ranges of answers that make sense and ranges of answers that don't make sense. What if one oddball person feels that constantly vomiting is best for optimal health and happiness? Then we have to figure out if that's truly the case. Maybe the person is deceiving himself. Maybe the person doesn't understand why everybody else prefers not to vomit and he needs to think about it more. Let's suppose the person can prove he will get a longer lifespan and more enjoyment out of life if he constantly vomits. Then, the person should constantly vomit. However, that is not a valid alternate view of medicine that is useful in any way to the rest of humanity. In the interest of making a society that works and promoting well-being and happiness, we should see constantly vomiting as a bad thing and try to avoid it.

Sam Harris takes this analogy one step further. He thinks that just as the field of medicine is a scientific pursuit, the field of morality can also be a scientific pursuit. He came up with the idea of the 'Moral Landscape', which is the name of his book about this topic. The peaks of the landscape correspond with the peak of human flourishing and well-being and happiness and the valleys as the depths of human suffering. Sam asks us to imagine 'the greatest possible misery for everyone'. This is where everybody suffers for the most they possibly can for as long as they possibly can. Morality is here to move us away from that towards the peaks of human happiness. There may be multiple peaks and multiple valleys and sometimes we may have to go down the landscape before we can go back up, and higher.

The common notion is that science tells us what is and morality tells us what we ought to do. Sam Harris argues that the same idea could be used to attack medicine. Medicine as a field assumes that we care about health. Morality as a field assumes we can about happiness and human suffering. And, all of science assumes we care about reason and evidence.

There's still no answer to why we should value happiness and human suffering in the first place. I defended this myself earlier on by saying that this is required to build human civilization but that just assumes that's a good thing. In the end, moral relativism is true, just not in a way that matters. If you disagree that we should care about human suffering, you will be outcasted, and if you act against the public's interest in happiness and avoiding suffering you will be stopped. Refer back to the case of the hypothetical person who wants to vomit continuously.

Back to Sam Harris though.

I still have problems with Sam Harris' position however. At least right now and in the foreseeable future, science won't be able to tell us what will bring about more happiness apart from what we already know. There is no way to make an objective metric for happiness and well-being. Just the brain scans we have today are insufficient. A lot of conflicts we have in the world are shades of grey and when you appeal to just brain scans for well-being and therefore morality, I just have to ask, how exactly are you going to solve these conflicts through brain scans alone? What about when freedom collides with happiness of the self and others, or person versus tribe, or a myriad of other things? Yes, reason and evidence and honest discussion is the way forward, not iron-age texts people read as the ultimate guide to the world. But this notion that science is important doesn't really address these issues, even if Sam Harris points out that our experiences of happiness and suffering are dependent upon matter which we are made of which can be studied. In principle, that is true but practically speaking it is not. I think if technology is good enough, we will invent machines that forces the brain into a never ending high, like that of cocaine - just incredible happiness, where we do nothing all day but sit there and enjoy the machine. Is that really objectively the best outcome?

Intentions still matter, of course. Why I do something tells you what I probably want to do in the future. This is Utilitarianism with a twist.

Some people think we are not in any position to attack the way women are treated in the Middle-East because of moral relativism. This is not relevant as an argument because the only way for this argument to have any weight is for it to apply to any matter regarding morality - and I bet the person making that argument wouldn't want to be that woman in the Middle East. You can't selectively use moral relativism to justify something because it's convenient.

The scare of course, is that people are too sure that their ideas of morality are objectively true and foist it upon others. Sam Harris thinks we can objectively arrive at a conclusion but I think we cannot. I do think reason and evidence is the way to do it. Sam Harris doesn't understand why people think the idea of a scientific basis for morality is frightening, because we do the same for medicine. My response is, you just have to look at history. Still, the idea that we don't know everything about morality doesn't mean we therefore don't know anything and any action is just as moral as the other.

Here's an interesting thought that Sam Harris pointed out in his book. We know that the importance of organisms depend on the possible experiences the organism has, particularly the organism's ability to experience happiness and sadness. Humans can think about and enjoy and suffer so many more things than ants, therefore we are more important than ants. We have some serviceable intuitions about this. This is why we can crush a bug without too much remorse but killing a dog feels more cruel and inhumane. What I am saying is that one human is more important than one of any other animal on the planet. Once we're dealing with one human versus many, many animals it becomes foggier. For example, Sam Harris feels that he cannot justify eating meat. Now, suppose there exists an organism that looks at us the same way we look at ants. This organism has a much greater range of experiences and knows, suffers, and enjoys more than we can ever imagine. Then this organism is more important than us. It's disconcerting but as far as I can tell, true.

I leave you with a video by Dean Leysen. I poked him about this topic two years ago and I am just now finally able to come to a solidified stance and write down my thoughts coherently. Agree or disagree I think it's worth a watch.



Islam, Middle East, American Imperialism, and Criticism



Democracy was supposed to champion free speech, and yet the simple rules of table decorum could clamp down on the rights their forefathers had fought and died for. 
- E.A. Bucchianeri

This is definitely the most touchy subject out of all the subjects here and this is a subject I really cannot fully cover or even comprehend in the space of this part of the blog post or the time it takes to write this blog post. Still, I feel like I could offer some decent level of commentary.

Sam Harris attributes the violence in the Middle East as primarily religious. I think the majority of flak Sam Harris takes is from this one issue, surprisingly enough. Everybody discussing the situation knows that Islam is false but that's not where the controversy lies. I'm talking about some pretty serious grief here. There is a lunatic or two plagiarizing people yelling at him, Ben Affleck raging on Bill Maher's show, Reza Aslan and Sam Harris being major rivals with respect to religion, and Salon allowing people to post shitty articles about him. I might sound like I'm defending Sam Harris from every criticism he gets, but going on Salon and calling people 'douchebags' doesn't fly in terms of journalism. You can't just label everybody an Islamophobe and be done with it.

This was discussed in an interview with TYT's Cenk Uygur and Sam Harris. Sam feels that people who are obviously defaming and misrepresenting his views should not get air time on his show. He talks about the Salon and how he contacted the administrators of Salon asking them to take down the defamatory articles about him. The admins responded by saying 'This is the Salon, we welcome all opinions, why don't you write an article defending your position?' To which Sam Harris responds: 'So first you take away my credibility by allowing these untrue articles to be published, and now you want to rob me of my time, to write for you for free explaining how I'm not an Islamophobe and sexist and racist for free?' It is so much harder to defend yourself from accusations of racism, for example, that it is to attack somebody, so defending yourself with multiple defamation of character from multiple people is very hard to clean up.

And some of his critics are batshit insane, like CJ Werleman, a serial plagiarist and actual all-around douchebag. People have short attention spans. So if you have a TYT video where a guy comes on and misrepresents the view of another person, even if the victim comes onto the show later on to defend himself, the damage is by no means undone because the chances that people will watch both videos is very slim. Sam Harris talks a while about how political correctness has run amok in our discussions in America. Online journalists get paid based on the amount of clicks they get, not the merit of their content. Social media forces people to write in short sentences, summarizing viewpoints into less than 150 characters. The fact that people try to have a conversation on Twitter blows my mind.

We're talking about Reza Aslan, who called Sam Harris a genocidal, fascist maniac. These guys are fucking INSANE. But for the most part we are talking about secular public figures attack Sam Harris on this issue, using ridiculous language with a large following.

I keep talking about the criticism Sam Harris is facing because as he mentioned later on, it touches on other issues apart from the actual problems in the Middle East: Retarded journalism, deliberate misrepresentation of views, and extreme political correctness. If you say that we want freedom of speech and of religion, people agree, but when you say that the Muslim world in the Middle East lack those things, people get angry. A famous discussion on Bill Maher's show was between Ben Affleck and Sam Harris. For some reason, Ben Affleck just had this incredible animosity against Sam Harris from the get go, it was kind of strange to watch. He has temper problems. I don't understand why people can't just calm down and talk about stuff like a normal human being.

Islam is not a race. It's actually spread all over the world, so it's not even close to being any one race. Islam is a set of beliefs. There are of course, people who blatantly hate Muslims and think attacking your random Muslim down the street is a good idea. The opposite is also true, there are also loonies that believe radical Muslims are just victims of American imperialism and the terrorism from ISIS for example is simply a product of our own making and therefore, our fault.

Now, if I am scared by every Muslim I meet, then there would be something wrong with me. But I'm not. I live in America and the chance of meeting a radical Muslim that is actually willing to attack me physically is pretty low. I feel safe here. Criticizing Islam is like criticizing Communism, yet nobody will call anybody else a racist for criticizing Communism, Criticizing the view of some people is not intolerance towards all Muslims.

Skavau on reddit points out:

The problem here is that people think there are simply two types of Muslims:

"Moderate" and "Extremist" with a big dividing line that neatly separates their beliefs and their values. The "Moderates" are supposedly liberal, cosmopolitan, secular, etc whereas all the "Extremists" are all theocrats, reactionaries, nihilists etc. No such division has ever been apparent to me.

A worrying chunk of Muslims, even in the West do hold ugly and outdated views on Homosexuals, Apostates and hold incredible contempt and hatred towards people who even criticise Islam.


Another point brought up by TheDebatheist: We've all come across a few nice, polite Muslims at one point or another. Then you see horrific acts in the news, and you draw this line between moderate and extremist Muslim and simply proclaim that Islam does not impact a person's ability to be a good person. This is a blase, lazy, and naive approach to look at the problem. Few people realize what's actually taught in the Q'uran. We need to look at core beliefs in the doctrine. There are seemingly tolerant and progressive religious people that, when push comes to shove and they're given anonymity to express their beliefs, reveal intolerant beliefs. Tearing at Islam is like tearing at Democrats, Republicans, etc. It really is possible to hate the idea and not the person.

According to various polls, we have some interesting beliefs by Muslims throughout the world. 78% of Muslims thought that the publishers of the Danish cartoons of the Prophet Muhammed should be prosecuted, for example. (Note that this figure only applies to British Muslims.) Here is a link to a large study from Pew with a lot of polls about the beliefs of Muslims: 
The World's Muslims: Pew Research Center, 2013

In there it states that 86% of Malaysian Muslims and 72% of Indonesian Muslims support Sharia Law. While those Muslims probably mostly have a watered down idea of what Sharia Law could be, it shows that these people don't believe in separation of church and state.

Make no mistake: I see that Islam is believed by people of many different countries, each geographical area having somewhat similar ideas about a variety of topics compared to Muslims from another area. For example, according to the link I posted on page 92, about 83% of Muslims in southeastern Europe believe that women should have the right to decide whether to wear a veil. ~73% in central Asia, 78% in south Asia, ~52% in the Middle East, and ~36% in sub-Saharan Africa. Flip to the next page: About 47% of Muslims in SE Europe believe a wife should always obey her husband. And every other location averages about 80%. Now please note that these are estimates of percentage of people who believe a certain thing in each country, and I'm just averaging the data here. I'm not doing a head count and adjusting my numbers based upon the population of each country in question. But you get the point.

When Sam Harris said that 'Islam is all fringe', this is what he is saying: An unexpectedly high percentage of people claim to have these weird beliefs when they answer polls in anonymity. Many Muslims condemn ISIS, but they themselves hold beliefs that are troubling. You can't base your idea of what Muslims are all like based upon your own experiences with a few Muslims you personally know, you have to look at the data. The argument made about people who leave their country to join ISIS is that these are crazy men looking for glory. Sam Harris feels that this is not likely. What would drive somebody to leave their country to decapitate workers and journalists? I'm a little more iffy on this myself. I think it's very plausible to join ISIS and not have to go out and decapitate people, but then again, I really doubt the life of an ISIS member is all that pleasant to begin with. But once again, then again, people join gangs know thing this.

Post-show on Real Time with Bill Maher, Sam Harris and the others continue to duke it out on the issue. Kristof mentions that the popular hashtag #NotInOurName was a movement to attack extreme Muslims. The response was that burning of the Koran on the show would lead to riots and possible credible threats of death, yet ISIS goes out and crucifies people, buries children alive, and rapes and tortures women by the thousands in the name of Islam, and the response is a few small demonstrations in Europe and a hashtag.

It is true that in the American media we are more sensitive to Muslims committing acts of terror compared to Christians doing the same thing, probably because most people in America are Christians and Muslims seem foreign and ISIS is a large group of terrorists that don't have a direct counterpart in the Christian world today. This is why I think a more statistical approach to acts of terror helps us put everything in perspective, so we can just appeal to numbers instead of emotions. There seems to only be coverage about the brutal killings of ISIS, little on the actual numbers relative to other statistics, and no coverage about other Muslims who have risen up to speak against ISIS. I think it would do far more good than harm to prop these Muslims up and give them a microphone so they can condemn any version of Islam that is harmful to others. But the fact that those who speak up on Islam do so boldly because they risk their lives points back to the fact that such an act shouldn't even be dangerous to begin with. Still, let secularists and moderate Muslim leaders shame people away from Muslim extremism... if that is possible. One last thing on this topic: terrorists inside the US may have killed more than terrorists outside the US, but there's a difference there. The terrorists inside US do more damage because they're already inside the US. If we're just going to look at deaths in America, then ISIS is pretty good. But they're not good because they're wreaking havoc elsewhere. We're on higher alert for ISIS because they are a stronger enemy.

On the other side of the coin, there are people who are so mired by political correctness, they complain about the content of the cartoons from the Danish cartoonist as if somehow that justifies the taking of his life. If you don't want to offend others and cause your own death, just don't post cartoons against Islam! No, that's the wrong way to go about it. We should defend the right to free speech and every single newspaper on earth ought to broadcast the cartoon to show that we do not cower to religious intimidation. Thankfully, the general public easily understands that what was done was wrong, full stop. Yet, we have Barack Obama claiming that ISIS is not tied to Islam because 'no religion condones the killing of innocents'. My mind is blown. I thought the Left is supposed to stand firmly on the issue of civil rights and societal freedoms? It seems a lot of the Left are now not only silent on Islam, but defending it.

It is true that religion can be so wishy washy when adopted by some people, where it can essentially be used to justify anything. But I am saying that religion is a factor in the problems brewing in the Middle East. Imagine if we can have an honest dialogue about the logical fallacies of Islam and its less palatable views. Even the terrorists who use Islam as a cover without actually believing in it now have no other cover and the terrorists that were terrorists because of religious ideology are now against the terrorists who simply want to kill people. If only we could, as I said, have an honest dialogue with more devout and kooky Muslims and they could be swayed by reason and evidence, the world would be a better place. If there is no religion, all of a sudden ISIS would have more enemies, and whoever opposed ISIS before now oppose ISIS with even greater fervor.

Cenk Uygur would argue that the fringe beliefs of Muslims stem from American imperialism, that in the past America has killed many civilians and committed acts of war for only our interests. And this lack of trust makes dialogue harder and drivers those Muslims to feel powerless and resort to extreme beliefs in religion, to conquer to feel mighty against the Americans. And honestly, I do buy into his argument as well.

In fact, I think Cenk and Sam both have good points. Neither of them are completely right. I think Sam Harris is right that there is a worryingly high number of Muslims to say they believe in Sharia Law, for example. But I also think America has done things to aggravate Muslims and just people in general. Sam Harris looks at American interference as a positive every time and I disagree. I think Cenk puts too little emphasis on the impact of religion on terrorism and I think Sam over emphasizes it.

Ok, so let me expand on Sam Harris' ideas about American interference. He believes that America has good intentions when entering conflicts. If George Bush had the perfect weapon that can wipe out terrorists with zero collateral damage, he would use it to take out the terrorists and turn the Middle East into something akin to Nebraska. Intentions matter because it tells us what we are likely to do in the future. This is the root of the disagreement between Sam Harris and Noam Chomsky. Noam, in case you didn't know, is another public intellectual that has written countless books. He has a very negative view about American interference and proves his case through body count.

I think Noam is more right than Sam is. Intentions matter, correct. But the talk about a hypothetical 'perfect weapon' is just a mental exercise because such a weapon will never exist. Collateral damage is accepted by those going to war but there are different ways to minimize them. Pulling out the drones and bombing whoever you think is bad might be a bad idea. Every regime on the planet thinks they are the good guys. The Nazis thought they were the good guys, they just had extreme and immoral beliefs. Body count matters because it's an objective and track-able criteria and it directly relates to the harm that we are doing abroad. Sure, if ISIS had nukes they would screw up the world many times worse than America, but they don't. ISIS is still weak, so they make their point through graphic killings. America is strong, and they have bigger guns, so when they fire, more people die, good or bad. Just repeating that 'America has good intentions' doesn't cut with when there are people lying on the floor. If I drove drunk and didn't intend to kill people and I do, are my good intentions good enough to get me out of trouble? There is more than one way to engage the enemy and we can't just plead ignorance about our collateral damage. Here I feel that Sam Harris is unreasonably supportive of the idea of American exceptionalism when he says that America has more 'moral wealth'.

It's not to say that we shouldn't ever intervene with foreign affairs. Do we just let ISIS run around unopposed so they can get stronger? On the other hand, America's foreign policy isn't based on morality, it's based on self interest. We turn a blind eye on people who we find useful, and we arm them, until they become more trouble than they are worth. I'm not going to expand upon this point because I don't think I'm ready to talk about this issue with any level of competence. Perhaps I will pick this subject back up in the future.

And a derail of the current topic here... Sam Harris and Noam Chomsky never debated publicly because they couldn't manage to get along. Noam was a worse offender than Sam, but still. So now we end up with a lot of armchair experts making points on Youtube comments which neither Sam nor Noam will address, which is a tragedy. We have lost an important debate over the fact that people can't get along.

Anyways: The question is, what the hell do we do in terms of policy? This is why I don't get into politics: I don't think I am qualified. There is so much history and small details and such which can be relevant to making a decision in terms of policy. Figuring out that some shit has gone wrong is easy. Figuring out how to solve it is hard.

So, what exactly are you going to do? Sam Harris in his interview with Cenk Uygur mentions a few things. One of them is to be smart with your profiling at the airport. He argues that in trying to appear politically correct, we are endangering lives. We have 10 dollars' worth of attention to spend on checking out and vetting each person that goes onto a plane. Are you going to check a lady in flip flops on the phone talking to their husband about their trip from Arizona? Probably not. There are many cues that arouse suspicion and we shouldn't forcibly give everybody the same security simply because it appears fair. Cenk argued that this will just contribute further to us vs them mentality between Muslims and other Americans, causing frustration, doing more harm than good. I want to say that the people who would react as Cenk feared behave irrationally, so screw what they think. But then again, suicide bombers themselves are irrational. So, I don't know. But I think it is an interesting idea.

Sam Harris also talks about torture. He argues that torture not working because the subject makes up stuff is a PC myth. He argues that in bad enough circumstances, we must stoop lower to get the job done. As far as I know, torture is shaping up to be as good of a source intel as NSA's mass surveillance program. Doesn't work. When did it ever work on these extreme Muslims? They came in knowing the consequences of getting captured. Some of they were ready to kill themselves. These are not normal people who would bow down against pressure readily. And when you get the wrong guy you're bound to get wrong info because the guy doesn't know the right info, like the guy we tortured into saying Iraq had nuclear weapons. ISIS is not THAT big of a threat to the world right now, at least for first world countries. Clearly the US doesn't care about what happens to others in the Middle East except when it affects us (eg, our oil getting affected, or terrorists entering America), otherwise we would be doing a very length campaign to wipe out the ISIS entirely, like a holy crusade. In terms of Americans that died from ISIS, it's very little. ISIS is a tough enemy to defeat but the casualties are still very far away. So, I feel that torture isn't even warranted because we're not even in desperate times. Cenk Uygur further argues that torture once again, causes the us vs them mentality. Sam Harris asks us what we should do if a man has the information needed to save many people and we have them in custody. Again, the question is, how do we know such a case will ever occur in actuality, instead of only inside a mental exercise?

Sam Harris also talks about nuclear weapons. Here I think Sam Harris is being contrarian for no good reason. He argues that having nuclear weapons by default means we have a first strike policy. Yes, theoretically. If we knew somebody was going to nuke us ahead of time, nuking them is on the table, ok, yes. So what? How is that relevant to fixing ISIS? Are you going to try to nuclear bomb ISIS into submission? Because, ISIS is clearly not just one target sitting in one city. And of course, there are a lot of implications in the use of nuclear weapons. What is the point of even bringing up this point?

And finally, Sam Harris argues that there are doctrinal differences in Islam compared to Christianity or Judaism that causes the differences in violence today. For example, the Bible is a long-winded and contradictory book without a clear message whereas the Koran is much shorter. Christians have tools Muslims do not, like the idea of Jesus coming down to save us from our sins, leading people to dismiss the Old Testament laws as relevant today, thinking we should just wait around for Jesus to come back and save us all. Every time the Koran lists 'kill the infidels', that increases the belief that the Koran is advocating and commanding us to actually kill the infidels. Neither Christianity nor Judaism has a straight doctrine of holy war. Mohammed was a conquering war lord while Jesus was a stoner hippie half of the time. I've yet to read the Koran, but the core of that argument might be a factor. We're not scared of Jainists coming in and killing everybody for a good reason: Murderer makes absolutely no sense in that religion, and the more radical a Jainist, the less harmful he or she is. Specific beliefs have specific consequences or so Sam would argue. If you were going to try to intimidate radical Muslims with nuclear weapons in a game a chicken, you will never win because those people actually believe there is paradise after death. But Christianity has also been very bad in the past. Is the Koran really that much worse than the Bible? I haven't made up my mind about this yet.








I would like to credit Sam Harris as I have used many of his quotes, ideas, and articles on his blog.

Wednesday, May 6, 2015

The Skyrim Paid Mods Controversy

Two weeks ago a large controversy occurred over Steam's decision to allow for paid mods for Skyrim. If you are not a PC gamer, that first sentence probably seems like gibberish. And frankly, even after I explain everything, you still might be asking yourself why you give a damned, and I don't have a ready response for that. I guess I'll dissect this issue here because it is relevant to me and this is my blog, and the original purpose of the blog is to have a place for me to consolidate all my ideas and opinions. Continue reading at your own peril.


BACKGROUND
Steam is a program and service made by Valve. It is a DRM for PC games. Unlike consoles like the Playstation or the Xbox, it is very easy to pirate a video game on the computer and play games for free. Typically the buck stops at multiplayer games, but at least for single player games, this is the case. Any single player game can be cracked and pirated. Making a strong DRM typically just openly challenges the cracking teams to be the first to crack it. Cracking software is complicated stuff, but installing cracked material is very easy. This is obviously a problem because not every game needs or should be multiplayer. How will companies make their profit if people are getting their games for free? There are ways around it. The head of Steam is Gabe Newell, affectionately called “Lord Gaben”. He feels that piracy is a distribution problem. That, by trying to protect their games against the inevitable, games companies are repelling paid customers through clunky, glitch, and sometimes crippling DRM protection. To counter this, he has Steam: Where most PC games are available, accessible in one program, and where people can chat and see friend’s profiles after buying some games from Steam’s famous ‘Steam Sales’. It seems to be working.

But nobody is beyond criticism, especially on the Internet. And when you piss off the Internet, amazing things happen. Skyrim is the fifth game in the Elder Scrolls series of games, from Bethesda. The Elder Scrolls games have been extremely successful. They are all open RPG games. They really do take open to a whole new level. Everything you see, you can go to. There are no invisible walls. Nowadays there are a little bit more games that do that sort of thing, notable the yet-to-come Witcher 3, but that is a pretty recent phenomenon. Another reason why the Elder Scrolls are so successful is due to the mods. The game on its own (‘vanilla’, as modders call it, in other words, absent of any player-made-mods) contains easily over a hundred hours of content. While MMORPGs can contain just as much if not more content, those are not really comparable and the playing styles are also very different.

With mods, the sky isn’t really the limit, but the limits are pretty fucking high. Mods can be anything from a new cool looking (or possibly lame-looking) sword to an entire new continent with places to explore and things to do.  Modding to this extent would not have been possible without Bethesda’s help. They released modding kits to the community free of charge. This is of course, just for the PC because consoles cannot do such a thing. Because of this, the whole controversy really only directly affected Skyrim players on the PC. Although Skyrim came out on 11/11/2011 and it’s 2015, a lot of people still play the game. Mods make the game interesting for a very long time and people want to see what worlds they could create, or what aspects of the game they could fix or improve upon. It’s a symbiotic relationship. The players get more to do with the game, and Bethesda gets happier customers who are more willing to buy their games.


THE ISSUE
Two weeks ago it was announced by Steam that paid mods for Skyrim are now possible. Modders can now start charging people for their mods. In the past, donations were possible, but obviously donations won’t get as much money as actual sales, right? Well, there’s a bit more to this whole situation than meets the eye.


The Revenue Split
Paid mods was Steam’s idea. They’ve done this with Counter Strike skin mods in the past. Counter Strike is a popular FPS game. Skins just deal with cosmetics. Well, anything apart from cosmetic changes would probably not work for that game because it is an online competitive shooter, and the most popular shooter for competitive gaming at that. Changing the weapon balance for example, would break the game. Skyrim’s not like that. Counter Strike skins worked. Steam got some cash, the modders got some cash, people walked away with new skins to try out. Since the system seemed benefitial to the community, it isn’t too far-fetched to say the people at Valve wanted to extend this to other games, like Skyrim, where modding is really a big thing. Bethesda allowed for this. Bethesda arranged for the payouts to be as follows: 30% goes to Valve. 45% to Bethesda. The remaining 25% to the modders themselves. To many modders, this is a slap in the face. 25% of the cut goes to the people that actually made the content? In my opinion, the modders should get 75% of the cut, basically reversing the amounts. Then, 15% to Valve for setting everything and fixing the legal hurdles to make this possible, and 10% to Bethesda.

Let’s be clear here. BETHESDA decided on how the revenue will be divided, NOT VALVE. Valve consulted with Bethesda but it was Bethesda’s call. Blame Bethesda for this if you think they deserve it. Bethesda’s blog piece told us their side of their story. They said that 30% pay cut to Valve is tradition and is considered a fair cut. Then, they decided that the remaining 45-25 split was fair after consulting with Valve. They decided this was fair and a division of revenue this was worked for some other games. So, they said they wanted to try this out. While players all paid the entry price for getting Skyrim on their computers, I also think it’s fair to charge a percentage of revenue. Bethesda did make the modding kit for Skyrim. And if money starts flooding in, then Bethesda knows to spend more time and energy on PC modding for their next game.

Of course, the more cynical can say that this division is ridiculous and once applied, will never change. The less cynical will say that Bethesda is going into uncharted territory and they’re still feeling their way in, so changes are very possible. Bethesda defended against accusations of blatant money-grabbing by saying that in the short time the idea was rolled out, mod sales accounted for less than 1% of their earnings through Steam. How much value do we give to Bethesda for building the Elder Scrolls franchise, an open game, and the modding kit and the audience they have built? It is true that in business, you can’t simply divide up the money based upon who spent more hours. Sometimes an investor gets most of the cut simply because he provides financial backing the original guy could not. Or expertise which the original guy cannot. Whether this justifies what Bethesda came up with is up to you, but I think it’s important to tell both sides of the story.

Gabe responded in a Reddit Ask Me Anything discussion by saying that they’ve spent more money dealing with the fallout of paid mods than they’ve earned. He reasoned that they pulled in $10,000 and spend $1,000,000. I don’t understand this argument at all. First of all, how did he manage to burn up a million dollars due to this fiasco? There is no transparency in the numbers. Also, losing money in the short term doesn’t mean he wasn’t looking to earn mega-bux in the long term. It also doesn’t mean Gabe wanted to make money in the short term as well but did not foresee the incredible fallout.
However, Valve did spend quite a long time to get the legal hurdles out of the way. The original idea was pitched for Bethesda to consider all the way back in 2012. Obviously not the entirety of Valve was working on this deal, so make of it what you will.


Payment Threshold
Another aspect of payment plan is about the threshold for payment. You might be familiar with how Google does this with Youtubers: If you made $100 or more and it’s sitting in accounts payable, only then can you get the money you’ve earned. If you made a video on Youtube and garnered $50 in ad revenue from your cut, you don’t get squat until it hits $100. I know this all too well because I have a one-hit-wonder that earned me $65 in revenue… which is the same as nothing since I’ll never hit $100.

Valve has done a similar thing here: The payment threshold is also $100 but in this case, the situation is much more egregious. If only 25% of revenue is given to the modders, the modders have to sell $400 before they earn anything. Some might argue that this is a way of preventing little kiddies from trying to profit off of mods without providing long term support and the like and that has some validity, but the problems still exist. $400 in sales is a very large number.


The PC Gaming Climate and Lack of Day One Curation
We’re talking about enabling paid mods in a climate hostile to micro-transactions and DLCs. PC gamers especially have been bombarded with microtransactions and DLC after DLC, and day one DLCs. DLC stands for ‘download content’, and were originally large expansions people paid for. They were supposed to be extra content made after the game was done to give the players something more in exchange for some money. Instead, some companies charge ridiculous amounts of money for skins and add-on packs and shortcuts (like unlocking all weapons in Battlefield) and day one DLCs. If you’re releasing DLCs on day one, clearly you didn’t spent all the time you could’ve to make the original game better. People are fed up with everybody trying to milk them for money everywhere they turn.

Bethesda said in the blog that they wanted no content curation, because they felt this allowed for the most open environment. This is obviously true, but is it for the best, at least in the short term? The day piad mods were announced, it was dropped like a bombshell on the PC modding community. People thought they had something, and now it was being taken away from them. Nobody wants to pay for anything. And then what mods were available? Some modders were contacted, most of which weren’t even big name modders, given 45 days to come up with something new. They weren’t allowed to take an old mod and make it paid-only, but they were allowed to make an update and start charging for the new versions. This helps to dispel the feeling that players were having things taken away from them.

But what mods were available? Most of them were junk and not worth the asking price. Nobody wants to spend money to buy a fucking sword. This is what happens when you have no curation on day one. Long term, curation could be a problem, but at least in the start, can’t you at least TRY to make the paid mods not look gimmicky and a money grab? Bethesda reasoned that there will be problems, just like how in the past their own DLCs created problems with the community, and Bethesda learned from the feedback. True, but Bethesda is a company. There are many modders creating all sorts of crap that can flood the market. There is less accountability here. One may argue that I’m then arguing against the free market. Nothing is perfect, but Bethesda and Valve could have made the transition much smoother by giving the modders more time to create a compelling mod. Or assembling a paid mod team – it takes money to make money. Or simply making sure the mods covering the main page aren't $5 sword add-ons. The way the whole thing was announced and dropped is just an epic fail. You can’t just add this system and expect everything to be OK. The first week will be vital. The original set of mods set up for monetization needs to be a shining example for how awesome a paid mod system can be. You fuck up the first day, and you will have an amazing amount of people with pitchforks outside. 45 days to come up with a very good idea and have it working properly is too short of a time frame.

I feel that with such a change, the public perception during the first week is pivotal. Bethesda should have posted their blog post defending their decision at the same time as the launch of paid mods, and this whole thing should have been delayed until their next major mod-able game, Fallout 4 before gradual rollout to their old games. Of course, hindsight is 20/20. J


DLCs vs Mods
And funnily enough, this is why I accuse Bethesda, the creator of Skyrim, of being out of touch with the modders of their own game. 45 days is not enough time. We don’t want fucking sword DLCs. And it’s true… The official DLCs from Bethesda has a lot of dirty edits and deleted references that work just fine on a vanilla game but may cause problems in a modded game. And Steam? Their Workshop was never as developed as the Nexus.

This is where I think being a Skyrim mod creator (on a very small scale, mind you) and a major Skyrim player/modding whore can bring some unique insight into this. Many people talking about this issue don’t play the game. Skyrim modding is indeed complex. Some may argue that this means we need paid professionals that are lured only by paid mod systems. I argue that this actually opens up a larger can of worms. Mods are not the same as official DLCs. Official DLCs have all the patches made to work around them. This is not the same with mods. When you have so many mods made independent of each other you will have conflicts and crashes. The game itself has limits on what you can do in total. Individually each mod works flawlessly, but in conjunction with another 100 mods, you may have a stuttering, crashy mess.

With DLCs, everybody’s eyes are on it and we know we are getting good stuff, and if not, we’ll read about it. You will never have crashy problems with a DLC, especially after official patches which solve problems the Unofficial fan-made ones cannot. Mods on the other hand, are different. No curation? There’s a difference between mods that suck and mods that don’t deliver what they advertise or are simply not functional. Is it really the best in the long run to let the free market sort through every mod? Modding is very complex. Once a mod is installed and the player saves a game with the mod on, the mod is forever linked to the save file. It can never be fully uninstalled. You can have scripts that work on their own, but in conjunction with other scripts from other modders that are written differently or with inefficiencies in the code very few are able to understand, cause problems many hours down the line but no problems are the start. But you already paid for the mod ages ago! Steam’s 24 hour refund policy only include mods that do not do what they advertise or do not function, and it’s only 24 hours. Even a 24 hour satisfied-or-your-money-back is a problem because most game issues pop up later, not immediately after you installed the mod. Some people are worried that story-driven mods get the worst of a no-questions-asked-refund policy because a person can buy a mod, play it, and return it for a refund within 24 hours.

Many people still do not understand that some of the most downloaded mods contain bad scripting. In a game like Skyrim, too many scripts can screw up your game in the long term in ways that cannot be solved simply by having a better computer. Even if script overload can be solved with a faster processor, Intel is currently dominating AMD and increases in single-core improvements are very slim from generation to generation. Half the time the modders don’t even understand what they’re doing is harmful for the longevity of a save file. What happens when you have 100 mods and you start crashing out of the blue one day? How do you know which mod caused it? You don’t. The effects are felt too late, cause and effect is not very specifically defined. I took great pains to research every mod I use to avoid problems and even then I have problems.

And a lot of the problems are engrained in the game engine itself, which cannot be fixed by modders. If Bethesda were looking to profit off of mods over the long term, they need to put in much more time making the engine friendly to a huge amount of modifications, which seems like a daunting task. And if we take Bethesda on face value, they said they weren’t looking for profit off of paid mods, so they have less of an incentive to work hard to get the engine perfected. But without a great engine that is much less crashy with modifications, paid mods becomes more of a clusterfuck of unknowns.
Modding began long before paid mods was even a thing. Modders and people who use mods alike have made a thriving ecosystem without payments entering the picture. Without a doubt, the Skyrim modding community is the largest and best that exists in the world. The guy hosting the main modding site, the Nexus, frequently asks for donations to keep all the servers afloat from the massive data. Money changes everything. When you add money into the mix, problems occur which nobody ever thought about. The modding community partially grew as large as it is because it was free. When everything is free, people share freely and use other people’s works without charge. People borrow other people’s ideas and edit other people’s mods freely. Add money into the picture, and now plagiarizing and stealing of work becomes a problem. I doubt thieves will get justice because the market is too vast, too many mods, not enough scrutiny. If people are making money off of your work, are you more or less inclined to be so generous with your work, giving it out for free? Once money enters the picture, everybody becomes a vulture.

Official DLCs are created by Bethesda. Do you think mod authors will start recruiting and paying voice actors, buying the same microphone for their voice actors so their voice acting doesn’t sound inconsistent? Do you think those broke mod authors are able to afford expensive programs to sell their mods? Once you start selling mods for profit, the terms of service takes a turn on you as the creator. You all of a sudden have to buy your modeling software. What was feasible free was feasible because it was free.

Gopher suggested a way of adding value to paid mods. Installing many mods takes some level of know how and management. What if many mods banded together to form one mod that is unified, without any conflicts, and an easy to install and update package? You can take Frostfall, Wet & Cold, Climates of Tamriel, and Footprints and make it the ‘Cold Weather Package’. It’s like pre-cut veggies or pre-cooked meats. Some people are willing to pay for convenience. Now you are offering something without taking away anything.


Modders Want to Get Paid
People often take out their wrath on the modders in the paid Workshop and Valve when in fact the real people behind this situation are Bethesda and Valve. The modders are just reacting to what they have set up. Modders barely get anything, and anybody talking about donations are high because let’s face it, who actually bothers donating to a mod author? They’ll be lucky to even get an endorsement.
For many, many years though, the system has worked. Modders made something either to get endorsements, to get famous, to fix a game for themselves, or simply to help others. Those wants are all satisfied in the old system. I see and hear the arguments posed by Brumbek, a Skyrim modder, who noted that modding takes a long time, and over time people lose interest. He says that getting some money, which is not enough to survive on by the way, helps motivate the mod author to continue spending more time to maintain the mod. And this is valid. The ultimate in motivation though, would be to charge for updates as well, which is something that opens up another can of worms.

I do feel that people who attack mod authors, calling them greedy, are out of line. There was way too much yelling on the Nexus against Isoku. Isoku made Wet and Cold, probably the only mod I would’ve considered paying for that was released in the initial wave of paid mods. The yelling and anger got so bad, many people got banned and the comments section had to be locked for multiple days. Isoku can be charged for lack of communication, but the guy was simply experimenting with the new paid mods system.

Chesko, who made Frostfall, a hypothermia survival mod, original decided to go for a different system. New updates are paid, but released for free 2 months after its inception. This is an interesting model.

Personally? I’ve spent a long time creating a save file “mod” because I had specific gripes with existing solutions. I spent many hours working on it. I did it for myself. I released it for others that may find it useful. I do not expect or want anything from it except from some compliments or endorsements. I wrote my book on religion not to make profit. It is my decision to never charge for it. But I can empathize with the modders that do want to get paid. Free money is nice.
Endorsements are nice and all, argues a modder, but kids and food and real life is more important, and if one wants the modder to continue modding, he needs to get those things sorted out somehow. And I can appreciate that viewpoint as well. But some people make a reference to paid Youtubers like these two are the same thing. In that case, I totally disagree. Paid Youtubers get money from sponsors and ads. How the hell are you going to add sponsors and ads to a game mod? (One guy did, and let’s just say, it was a huge backlash against the mod, the author, and the whole idea of paid mods in general.) Again, I want to drive home the point that game mods for Skyrim are a totally different beast than skins for Counter Strike. The mods can be taken to a whole new level, but the problems the consumers can get also extend to a whole new level. You’re not guaranteed a good experience simply because you paid for a mod if you have multiple mods. And there are near infinite combinations of mods and things a person can do to break a game.

Some people say that if paid mods come to pass, then the modders are now required to address customer concerns where they wouldn’t have to in the past. This is true, and it helps somewhat, but I don’t think enough considering the incredible amount of problems that can occur when it comes to a large mod load order. Pricing is another factor. A 2 dollar cost for each mod over a 100 mod load order would be $200 for mods alone. Set the price too low, and you’ll never get paid and the money earned goes to Valve and Bethesda only. Set it too high, and people get pissed at you and you never make any buyers in the first place. A team of over 50 people made Skyrim and asked for $60 on launch day. How much do we value the time of a single-man operation making a game that may or may not crash your game later down the line?

Donation buttons work independent of paid mods. You can have both or one or the other. I think finding a way to make the donation button more prominent will help out the modders. Because really. Most of the time, I don’t even notice that a donation option exists. But let’s not kid ourselves. What percentage of people will donate if they don’t have to? A VERY small percentage. A lot of top-level modders have stopped modding because they get burned out and they move on. This is actually a pretty serious problem. Nobody makes mods with the intent of getting rich because it’s a very slow and painful way of making money. Anybody that tries will get a wakeup call soon enough.
Nobody is entitled to free mods. If somebody is being too greedy, and one feels the free market knows best, they should boycott the mod. Most mod users don’t understand the amount of time it requires to make a mod. I can appreciate it somewhat because I’ve tried. Hell, I even host a Wolf3d forum, and I made more than one mapset for the Wolf3d game. Some people were too lazy to play a game. It takes less than half an hour to finish a level, but 5 or more hours to make the level with a significant level of creative exhaustion. With Skyrim, the ratio of time it takes to play the mod and the time it takes to make the mod is even worse and standards for a good or decent dungeon mod is getting higher than ever.

I do believe that for the very best modders, getting paid for their work means better mods, I really do. I’m just not sure if paid mods are good as a whole. Is wanting to get paid for mods really greedy though? It’s something we do because it’s a fun hobby, but what about the people that want you to continue even though you’re burnt out? Shouldn’t they get a chance to pay for something to convince somebody to stay? What about getting a job apart from modding born out of a passion? That’s not greedy, that’s called finding a job you want to do. Arguably it’s less greedy than getting a job because you’re doing it less for the money because you know the chances of earning good money is far lower. There is a certain irony in that people reviewing mods get far more money than people who make mods. I know they are different things. But it doesn’t make a lot of sense when you look at it. How about ads a modder can place in their Steam Workshop page or something of that sort? I understand that’s another can of worms with legality and so forth.

Some people also need to calm the fuck down. Death threats over paid mods? SERIOUSLY? The flood of trolololo mods like having an NPC named “Beth” sitting on a valve asking for free money is all fun and dandy, but some kids push it too far. It was pretty amusing to see that mod nearly hit Mod of the Month in votes, by the way. Hilarious stuff.


More Stuff
Now here’s the biggie: Paid mods have been REMOVED from Steam. This leads to some awkward situations. Some people are calling this a win for the players. Some are pissed at the angry responses they’ve received for monetizing their mods, and one guy suggested a boycott against the players. No money, no mods! Isoku’s Wet and Cold is now in an awkward position where his latest version, which was available only for purchase, is now removed. How does Isoku feel about the non-paying community now his income has been stripped, he put in the hours for the new version, and he turns around to find a giant freak show of hatred? Is he even motivated to release his new update for free, or to just sit on it as a FUCK YOU to the angry mob? You see, this is what happens when you approach these issues without a cool head. Now the Skyrim modding community is more fractured and tense than it has ever been. And I am sad that this is happening.

So, I fault the people responding hastily to the situation moreso than I fault Bethesda or Valve. People try to shorten arguments and problems into things that can be written off in neat little one-liners on Facebook. Things are never that simple.

I’ve looked around for some more ideas on how to solve the paid mods problem. Some of them were interesting.

/u/DavidJCobb: All mods must have a seven day return policy, no questions asked and no consequences.
/u/BullZEye22: Mods should gather a certain amount of approval before they can be sold.
/u/fadingsignal: Behind the scenes, there should be a partially dedicated faster-response support team for mod authors. If a mod is having trouble because the Steam downloader is screwing it up, or there is abuse or stolen assets being used, someone who is a verified author should have a slightly elevated support level, so they can in turn better support their customers who purchase their mods.
For Paid Mods:
Modders need to get at least 50% of the sale. Valve and the publisher can work out how to split the other 50% on their own. There are more than enough differences between mods and other “industry practices” to allow this.
/u/fadingsignal: Option to set the minimum price to $0
/u/sleepystudy: Humble Bundle esqe slider when checking out, or perhaps a manual entry.
For Unpaid Mods:
/u/NeuroticNyx: A donation button for unpaid mods on the Steam Workshop. No profit form Bethesda can be made from this, as it is not endorsed.
/u/MaryMudpie: A system of Pay-What-You-Want for all mods. (Probably not going to happen.)
/u/EggheadDash: A pop for a donation once the game is closed, with Yes/Remind me Later/No options.

Perhaps the real tragedy of it all is that the paid mods system was removed too soon. If nothing changes, we will never know whether paid mods will do more good than harm. Now, people are mad, the community is split, Bethesda is annoyed, Valve is annoyed, I’m annoyed, and no change was ever even made.

A mod requires time to make. No matter how you slice it, time is a commodity and it is up to the author whether he wants to sell it or give it away for free. But at the same time, I also know too well the pitfalls of paid mods for a game like Skyrim.  People keep talking about how modding should be a pastime, and it’s like editing a movie. No, pastimes turn into work when the work a person does in their pastime is high enough quality. Many things are pastimes that turn into a business. You can’t just arbitrarily say that “DLCs being paid are ok, but mods must be free works!” for no actual reason.
For the record, the two places to get mods are basically the Nexus and the Steam Workshop, in that order. Dark0ne hosts the Nexus and he says the Nexus will remain free no matter what. Some more cynical people believe that the Nexus will eventually be bought out by some huge company for mega millions, after which everything will go to shit. From what I can read about Dark0ne though, he’s probably crazy enough to resist mega millions because he is stubborn enough to do things his way no matter what money comes his way.

And perhaps this is the future of modding and there is nothing we can do to stop it. Who knows?



Am I for or against Paid Mods?
…I don’t know. But it’s not like anybody important ever gave a damned about my opinions anyways.


Monday, March 16, 2015

Brain Droppings III

Brain Droppings I: http://minutelogic.blogspot.com/2013/05/brain-droppings.html

Brain Droppings II: http://minutelogic.blogspot.com/2014/06/brain-droppings-ii.html


Once a upon a time, men made the smartest machine ever built and asked it one question: "Is there a god?" and the machine replied: "There is now."


Other people have imperfect lives too, contrary to what Facebook often suggests… Just deal with things one step at a time and think about all the good things you have.


“A friend once came to me and said he wish he could play the piano as well as I can. I told him that he didn’t. Just likes the thought of it, otherwise he would already be playing the piano. To be an expert you have to practice eight hours a day, day after day. It’s a labor of love."


People care too much about what other people think. Moreover, other people are too busy worrying about what other people think of them to care about what they think about you. I find it funny that the same reason why people get scared is the same reason why there isn't much of a reason to be scared at all. A few people are douchebags but really, who cares what they think? If somebody is small enough of a person to confront and attack people who are different for no good reason then doesn't that automatically disqualify their opinions because it has no merit?


Willpower and balls are not things you have forever once you've obtained them. For example, you can work up the courage to ask a girl out one time, but that doesn't mean you'll have the courage to do it again in the future. It might be easier, yes, but it's still a struggle. And sometimes we say things like 'I don't care what others think' but in reality we do, and far too much. It's good to ask yourself whether you really do what you preach.


A lot of general tech Youtubers present information to me that isn't all that informative. I'm talking about the Youtubers that review tech and talk about tech in general. I call them 'generalists' because they look at many things. They don't have the time to look at any one thing with great depth. Because of this, when some Youtubers talk about areas I personally spent a lot of time investigating, I can tell when they say something inaccurate. Once in a while the Youtuber himself would actually respond, but I've yet to see any of them actually correct their mistake in video.


I hate it when reviews praise everything. If I had to make a tech Youtube channel, my spin on things, the thing that would make me stand out, is my unrelentless need to criticize everything. If EVERYTHING is perfect, then I might as well flip a coin and pick a product. NOTHING is perfect. And when we try to pick at every little thing, we might even discover new ways to judge a product, new functionalities that might be useful, etc.


I don't understand why people feel like they can just CLAIM things to be true and get angry when people ask for evidence. Saying 'Look it up yourself' is a cop-out and would never work in a debate. This to me is a direct consequence of people not debating enough in this world.


Don’t you ever feel like, after sex, that you are just an animal that indulged in a primal instinct to reproduce because evolution says so? Although to be fair, the same thing can be said for eating. And sleeping.


Somebody once told me that love is just 'a bunch of chemicals' happening in the head. Cool story bro? And guess what, humans are just arrangements of different atoms. The point is that the sum is greater than its parts. Breaking things down to such basic parts doesn't mean anything. The fact that love is just a bunch of chemicals doesn't make its effects any less true to the people in love. Or sex. Saying sex is simply something people do because of evolution is also trivializing the experience for the people involved, I think. I mean, does this guy break EVERYTHING down to such basics? Everything is just a bunch of atoms flying around, who cares about anything anymore? It's just atoms.


I don't think a sexist remark is any worse than any other all-around-insulting insult. Big deal, another stupid person said another stupid shit. Regardless of your own sex, gender, sexual orientation, or race, they'll find an insult to match. So you see, it's not about you, it's about them. And that's another thing: We're all so ready to jump on people who say something that might remotely be considered sexist, we don't realize that there are many other ways to discriminate people. For example, by age. When people bring up my race in a debate they know they're losing sanity points. But when they bring up my age for no reason with stereotypes and basically ad hominem attacks, somehow that's more acceptable. Older adults have to win an argument with reason and evidence just like the rest of us. Talking about my age just makes them a fallacious prick.


So uh, I was slicing cabbage at work one day when a thought dawned on me... This is about moral relativism. You can ask the fundamental question, "What is good? How can you logically prove to me that suffering in the pit of despair is bad and well-being is good?" Well-being is good because we deemed it so, just like how we assigned a meaning to what the word "good" means. You can say that this means morality IS relative but as I've mentioned in my book, I think this kind of thinking is too fundamental to be any use to society. It's academic. Nothing can ever be known with absolute certainty, morality is relative, blah blah blah. Only useful in philosophical discussions, really. Because what matters with certainty is that people are certain enough of something to act based on their beliefs. What matters with morality is that human beings in general have many things in common and we can decide as a society what is good and what is bad. So: Do I think morality is relative? Yes, but relative in a way that means nothing practically speaking.


"If I had asked people what they wanted, they would have said faster horses." -Henry Ford


I think intuition is more limited than we think it is, and that's the danger. If the world was intuitive, we wouldn't need science. We wouldn't bother to set up experiments. After all, everything revolves around the earth. Common sense deals with realms that are common to us - eg, African savanna. That sort of common sense won't work when we're dealing with realms foreign to us - like particle physics. If I asked you how thick would a Sunday Times newspaper folded 100 times be, you may respond by saying it would be as thick as a brick, when the answer is 6 billion light years across. I think intuition is useful as a starting point of investigation, but not as the ending point. Not everything can be tested in reality, so some ideas that come about partially from intuition has a place in science, but we must be careful to note what evidence we have and how sure we are about our beliefs.


On the virgin birth: Cool, a guy was born without a dad having sex with the mother. Do you know how many animals on earth can do that already?


'Wouldn't it be cool if Zombies & Vampires became human if we bit them first? Somebody needs to test that hypothesis.' -Neil deGrasse Tyson


"Pain is temporary. It may last for an hour, a day, even a year. If I give up however, it will last forever." – Eric Thomas


"I wonder if Farm Animals think deep thoughts while standing around doing nothing. I also wonder if they wonder the same of us" –Neil deGrasse Tyson


In MMORPGs people are often focused on gaining more money and being stronger when in fact the funnest moments of the game is when we screw around and do stupid stuff. Feels like this is very comparable to real life.


I gave a lengthy response (by Youtube standards) to some commenters for a video talking about a young girl who underwent sexual reassignment surgery to be a girl. I thought it was interesting.

"I think defining sex is trickier than some people think it is. If a person has sexual organs of both "sexes", then is the person male or female? I don't particularly care for a technical scientific answer, if a satisfactory answer can even be given... We don't live life according to the classifications of hardcore science. I mean, do you see yourself as a person, a human being, or a mammalian animal, a homo sapien? Probably the former. Do you care about what class of plants the tomato plant is from? No. You can classify the plant in any number of classes and orders and divisions and families, IDC. What we care about is whether the tomato tastes good.


And the question of whether we should address somebody by their sex or their gender... Which may or may not be a grammatical debate. Which I would argue might not matter because grammar rules can be bent with time, and grammar and semantics of these words came about through history and the opinions/habits of people in the past. Does it make more sense to say 'he' or 'she' based upon gender or sex? Should politeness affect our judgement?

At the end of the day though, even if she is technically a male, to me it's just a label. To me she is at a point where I cannot distinguish her from a cisgendered female and looks better than many cisgendered female out there. Surely there is more we think of when we think of a female than just her sexual organs? Besides, I bet surgery's got her covered there as well.

Now, one of you brought up the argument that the doctor gave her such a life-changing procedure too early on in her life. I don't know. I don't think anyone of us here really knows whether that's the case. We're not even fucking legitly transgender or psychologists. As if even those two groups of people really know for sure. But I can see where you are coming from, but it's also irrelevant to my original post.

I don't think the people intent on calling her a 'he' thought about all this. Their thought process beginning with 'That's fucking weird" and ending right there."



"When 3 people have sex... it's a threesome... when 2 people have sex... it's a twosome... now i see why they call you handsome."


"If money grew on trees, it would be as valuable as leavers." - Wonderwhy, on inflation.


I bet you can get tupacs of eminems with 50 cents.


“Science does not answer the "why" because the "why" is a retarded question.“ – Jacob Lively


“The plural of anecdote is not data.” Dr. Aaron Carol


shauarma0 on Youtube posted a comment I felt was insightful. It was on a video for Martin Garrix's "Animals", a hit track with I think... dubstep elements. The video isn't that eye-opening, it's a bunch of guys trashing cars and drinking, etc. Shauarma0 said that some people need to "forget how generic a song sounds, how simple the production is, how talentless the producer is AND JUST FOCUS ON HOW IT MAKES THEM FEEL." Really though. That's true.


Ok, I'll close with my opinions about PewDiePie. PewDiePie for those of you that don't know, is the largest Youtuber in the world, with like 35 million subscribers. He makes video game commentary. They are generally very silly and feature him screaming and doing weird things. A lot of people look down upon him for doing that. My opninion is that he is not doing any harm to the world, he is supplying entertainment where there is demand for it. Given the same opportunity I would do the same thing he does because it makes a lot of money. He is just reacting to what the market wants. If nobody likes his videos, his personality wouldn't exist. And that's another thing. It's a personality. From my limited experience, PewDiePie seems like a pretty decent guy outside of his character. Probably pretty intelligent, since it takes intelligence to make the largest Youtube channel in the world. You might be able to make a viral video or two by sheer luck, but sustained audience retention takes skills.

Friday, January 30, 2015

Purpose

Hey there!

I have not posted here in a long time. Let's fix that. Warning, there is no deep philosophical, smartypants stuff in this post, but I think you can deal. :)

Truth be told, I've been busy with nothing the past few months. I believe at the start of last December, a friend of mine pulled me back into Maplestory because he wanted to get back into it. People often ask, "People still PLAY that game?" and of course, the answer is still "yes". People don't just stop playing a game just because you left it. The show goes on, and if there is a profit to be made, you can guess what happens. I find MMORPGs to be a extra addicting. I always end up trying to out-do everybody else. I wanna hit the damage cape in Maple, be the "stronkest". You are probably not familiar with the game mechanics, so let's talk about it quickly. Maple is 2D sidescrolling game with cartoonish graphics. The damage gap is very large, meaning the strongest and the weakest players in the game have a huge difference in terms of how much damage they do.

In fact, let me go on because this is my blog and I can talk about whatever I want. :) This is a game where the equipment is more important than the levels. This is a game where damage is really all that matters. It's also very pay to win. There's no conceivable way to get to the very top without spending real life money in some way. There are multiple ways to achieve this. The legit way is to buy NX, which can be spent in the "Cash Shop" to buy stuff from cosmetic changes to equipment changes. Most of an item's power (in general) comes from it's "potential". What effect the potential has is random (in general). If you wanna be da berry best, you've gotta set down a ton of cash to randomly hit the best potentials. That's the legit way. You can always buy the items pre-done with a ton of mesos, the in game currency. The inflation is so bad from bots to the point where 1 BILLION mesos costs only $3 USD. That means the inflation is x12 worse than Runescape. The max cash stack in many games is 2.1 billion due to the limits of 32bit. It's now 10 billion in Maple, but that is still way too low for high-end equipment. Of course, buying mesos with real life cash or buying equipment with straight up dollar bills is prohibited, and the in game messages make it a point to repeat that until it's drilled into your head, but actions speak louder than words. The fact is, nobody gives a crap if you do. The money grab here is insane. I don't think the players for the most part understand just how pathetic the damage gap is because they've never reached anywhere near the top.

Well, I have. Chalk it up to addiction. We end up playing this broken, pay to win game, with glitches and tons of server downtimes. Sure, and it's true, the funnest moments of the game were when my guild buddies were screwing around with me in the game. We've had some pretty hilarious moments for sure. But there's this need to do the maximum damage possible, at least for me. Here's the thing, right. You can start casually, then realize with basic math that you can save so much time training your character for the next level by purchasing a double experience ticket. It makes total sense mathematically to do so. While that's true, such math misses an important aspect of it all. Then you realize that buying 1 billion mesos only takes $3. How much time does it take to make 1 billion mesos provided you are not amazing at what you do? Quite a while. Ok, then you escalate to get some more cash. Some NX here and there for more double xp, cosmetic crap, etc. Pretty soon, you don't WANT to know how much you've spent. That's when you know you have a problem on your hands. The slope is very real my friends, and it sure is slippery. One thing led to another and at the height of it all, I dropped 3 grand. Holy. Fucking. Shit. Sure, my damage was unbelievable. I was the strongest in the guild and the allianced guilds by a mile. I was carrying everybody. I was think about it this way: Do YOU want my damage? No you don't, because if you wanted it bad enough you'd be working extra shifts at work to get to where I am. Sure, I could actually cover the extra costs by working extra shifts if I do the right things. But again, that is missing the bigger picture.

The bigger picture is that we all know where the road ends. I guess... for most of my life I was playing Runescape, the game gave me direction. I have a reason to get out of bed and I knew what my goal was. Or in elementary school, I wanted to have read the most amount of books in the year, to have my name on the top of the list. So I read a book a day, every day, day after day. I want to be the expert at SOMETHING, and if I can't attain it, well, why even bother? In fact, when I quit Runescape, I remember it being a strange feeling: Waking up and not having your life be about some one thing. And just kindda... living. It's crazy.

The road has to end somewhere. This cannot keep up forever. I can't just play Maple and cover the expenses with more shifts. I'm going to have to find a way to sustain my life on my own eventually and it has already taken a long ass time. What about ingame? Well, new equipment will eventually come out, the damage cap will be increased further. Is being stronger more fun? Not really. While I made it a point to not join some elite bossing guild, but rather to hang out with my buddies, it's the same. In fact, it's arguably less fun now because everything dies in 10 seconds. There's no struggle, there's no Hank dying over and over again. Am I chasing damage, or am I chasing happiness?

2 days ago I decided that I wasn't happy with my current situation. So, I turned around and I started selling my gear back for cash. So far, so good. There is always a risk of getting scammed with these types of transactions. There are ways to mitigate that but without going into too many details, there are pros and cons to each method of selling or buying items. I don't scam people because well... that's not how I roll. People have been remarkably honest to me thus far.

I don't hesitate to blast my mother when she says some ridiculous bullshit. But in this case she was on the money and I knew it from the start: You can play now and get screwed later in life, or you can work hard now and be able to afford to screw around for the rest of your life. The former makes you miserable, the second makes you a baws in lyfe. And the people I bought my gear from understood this. They are probably selling their gear to go to college. And the people buying my gear will eventually understand as well, and they will sell the gear to somebody else. The cycle continues.

So now I am back to trying to study. Let's see what happens now. But Maple? No. Now I'm stepping outside of the zone and looking back at Maple... not again. The game is just broken. It was the people that made it fun. And those people will be around whether I hit shit damage or godly damage, because that's why they are people worth hanging out with.

And, I'm not naive or stupid enough to think everything is magically gonna be all better now because I quit. This is just the first step in a thousand-mile-long trek and in every step of the way there is a chance I will fail. The road to being an actuary is long and hard. I know I cannot understand what I am getting myself into. But I'll give it one last shot, so I'll try to make this one count. I hope for my sake that I make it.

By the way: This is why people annoy me when they make small talk. Well, it's one of the reasons. I hate it when people ask me about school or work, because I don't like talking about this stuff. Well, I just did. Don't make me regret it. We all have our failings. This is mine.

Saturday, September 6, 2014

Thoughts on "The Fappening"

Hey.

If you still don't know by now, about a week ago somebody managed to "hack" into many celebrities' iCloud accounts and steal their private pictures. This person released a lot of them onto the internet. I ended up having more to say about this topic than I originally thought. Ok, first let's talk about the actual situation.

Actresses are people. They're not goddesses. They are people. Nobody is "perfectly pure". This notion that the ideal girl is irresistibly sexy, wears beautiful, pretty, cute clothing and makeup for you, yet is somehow sexually innocent, well, that's not only naive, it can backfire on you. What type of idiot girl has no idea about sex at all as an adult? In a child it might be cute, but not in adults. In adults it's ignorance about something that is (to many people at least) an important part of life. It's a fantasy. Fantasies have their place, but you don't want that stuff in reality.

Back on topic. Why is taking nude pictures of yourself somehow immoral? It makes no sense to me. Now, I don't get why people do that. Somebody tried to defend the actresses by saying "Well, everybody takes nude pictures of themselves..." to which I reply... No, lol. I don't? It's like making a sex tape. Just because you like doing that stuff doesn't mean everybody does. It's weird to me, but not immoral. Like, seriously. What sort of suffering is that going to cause? In the end, no matter what you say, you do eventually have to acknowledge that the fault is on the guy who illegally hacked into other people's accounts to steal their private photos. The photos can be any type of photos, even photos of their favorite cat. But it's private. You shouldn't touch that. Ok? Can we get this out of the way? The fault is really on the guy who did all this. (Well, assuming it's a guy. Could be a girl, you never know.) This is more than a scandal, it's also involving a criminal act.

Apple's value dropped a lot because of this incident. What I heard was that the accounts weren't "hacked" per se. The guy just managed to guess the recovery question answers or their passwords. Many people will say that people shouldn't post anything to the internet if they don't want it to be exposed. Do you say this kind of stuff for your bank account password? Your Paypal password? Your Paypal account balance? I don't think so. So don't tell me that we all should be super-duper careful. Yes, actresses tend to get more attention, so they are a prime target for these kinds of attacks, so they should be more careful. This is true. But they are also just people. Not everybody is super electronics-security-conscious. We all have gaps in our knowledge, things we probably should know but don't. It's not totally ridiculous that an actress would stick to this level of security, because this level of security has worked well in the past and for many other people. You can't even "victim blame" by accusing the girls of doing stupid shit. They stored photos under password key and lock.

Here's a tip if you are worried about security: For your security questions, don't answer them honestly. Make up a fake answer you'll remember. Even better, make all of your passwords or answers off-topic password phrases. It beats adding weird symbols to your password and it's easier to remember. If you're an actress, many small details of your life have already been leaked without knowing. This makes them even more vulnerable.

Speaking of "victim blaming". I've been discussing this whole Fappening situation with some people and it's really annoying me. The first person I talked to basically verbally rained down hell on me for not going out there and exclaiming in all caps about just how outraged I am. Like, great. Whoever did this was wrong to do what they did. No fucking shit. What else is there to talk about in this case besides rattling on about how angry you are? Shit happens, what do you want ME to do? He also annoyed me greatly because 1) It was a complete circlejerk because that's what you get when you post on other people's Facebook posts, their friends already have similar ideologies and can't hold their boner for attacking the odd duck out and 2) Somehow, because I am young, my opinions are discounted and it's acceptable to use language particularly suited for attacking young people. Which I find hilarious because I'm positive this guy would be the first to get super insulted when any sort of racist or god-forbid, sexist comment get used at anybody. It's as if, being more angry about something happening makes you more moral. Funny. I am not "victim blaming" because I trivialize the celebrities' anger over this entire incidence. Shit just fucking happens. Out of all the things that could happen to you, having nudes released is a pretty benign tragedy. Last July, some asshole smashed a window on my car. I was angry, but not even for that long. It happened to ME, so I was angry, yes. But I see no reason for other people to get as angry or more angry than I am. It's as if they should be more offended than I am, which I find awkward and foolish. Around the world, tons of people have their entire cars wrecked, their entire lives wrecked (either by damages or being accused of being the person who inflicted such damage to others). Other people are being enslaved and brainwashed. Many are starving. Actresses are still privileged people, by worldwide standards and even American standards. They don't have to be actresses if they don't want to be. It's not like somebody thrust upon them, all the fame and money and they just want out. They will be alright next month, despite whatever nudes were released. I'm serious. They'll get over it. It's not really that bad.

There's child porn and all sorts of black-market info everywhere. Countries are committing cybercrimes against each other, stealing company and country secrets. And we are chiefly offended by what nudes were released? Give me a break. Even among the mundane things in our lives which annoy us, I don't feel having nudes released even ranks near the top in terms of frustration. Having a shitty, abusive girlfriend or boyfriend, getting fire and struggling to make ends meet, hell having to work 40 hours a week, all of these things in my opinion totally outweigh whatever suffering I might get if some nudes somehow appeared from thin air and got released all over the internet. I might even joke about it and ask, "You like what you see? ;)"

On the other hand, somebody on Youtube comments made a comment basically attacking the girls for putting pictures online that they didn't want to get leaked, talking about the NSA (riiiight, because the NSA is totally going to leak your nude photos to the public!). And then he went on to attack the news media for focusing more on The Fappening than other more important items, like war, famine, etc. This has some merit, in that the people who write for news networks ought to focus on what is more important to the entire world instead of focusing on stuff we'll all forget the next day. Famine isn't something that just disappears because you don't think about it. But my question is this:

If the priorities of a news station (in terms of what they investigate and care about) is totally off, causing the Youtuber to be mad, doesn't that mean people who have priorities totally wrong would also get him all riled up? Then that's the problem: We all have our own interests. It's very easy to attack people who care about celebrities. It's really a cheapshot when in reality, we're preoccupied by many other things which don't contribute to the well-being of the world, and we think about those things more than say, famine. In some ways, we're all no better. We have no high-horse to speak of. Comments that are short (typically one-liners), sensationalist, simple, and attacks something that seems easy to attack all tend to get a lot of "likes" on social media and on Youtube. They obviously cannot contain serious content because of its brevity, but they are often flat out wrong as well. In this case, for the people who took the like-bait and liked the comment victim-shaming the celebrities and attacking news media for covering the topic, they are ironically liking a comment that leads to a train of though which actually insults them. (Yeah, takes a while to figure that long sentence out. Sorry.)

It is true, at least in my eyes, that spreading this "The Fappening" photos all over the internet is actually an immoral thing to do. It should stop. But we have to think about the difference between what would happen ideally versus what should be done. If you cover it up, you are risking a major backfire. You ever heard of the Streissand Effect? When you try to suppress a scandal, it can just make things worse by bringing more attention to the situation. You will not significantly impact the spread of the pictures on the internet now it's out there. I think the best course of action is to let the whole thing blow by. Sure, do some FBI investigations behind the scenes if you wish to see if you can catch the guy who committed this crime. But trying to stop the internet from spreading stuff just demonstrates a person's ignorance about how the internet works. The internet never truly forgets, but it has the attention span of a 5 year old kid.

Somebody brought up an interesting point. Naked girls are everywhere on the internet. What is so special about the boobs of a girl who happened to be in some movies? Absent of all their makeup and fancy Hollywood crap, they're not even THAT good looking anyways. From a consumer standpoint, it's probably best to head straight for some normal porn material instead.